COMMENTARY
I have been arguing for some 20 months now that Russian
President Dmitry Medvedev would begin a political thaw and gradually all power
will be transferred to him from Premier and former president Vladimir Putin,
who would give it up willingly or not.
I have been arguing for a long time as well that Medvedev's thaw - a
second 'perestroika' of sorts - has already begun. A Medvedian glasnost, minor political reforms, an ambitious
privatization program set for next year, and reform of the penal system have
all substantiated the claim.
Now Medvedev has targeted one of the most corrupt institutions in Russian government - the Ministry of Internal Affairs. This decision to target the MVD - the first major institutional reform project of his presidency - is consistent with the logic of implementing great reforms. Medvedev's decision could impart greater impetus to his economic modernization and political thaw plans by removing a key institutional barrier to change and the rule of law. Just as the CPSU was the main obstacle blocking Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev's perestroika, the MVD is most likely the main obstacle to reform in today's Russia, with the possible exceptions of the FSB and the GRU (Main Administration for Intelligence or military intelligence).
Continue reading "MEDVEDEV'S THAW HITS AT RUSSIA'S LACK OF THE RULE OF LAW" »

